Who Will Be Prime Minister? These Numbers Decide Who Wins (NZ Election 2026)
Who will be New Zealand’s next Prime Minister? I ran the numbers on the provisional 2026 election result to work out which parties might be able to form a government.
Just so you know where I’m coming from: I’m a property economist, not a political commentator. I’m not here to tell you who should win. The votes have already been cast, so I couldn’t sway it even if I wanted to.
The reason I care is that property investing is a political football. And the next government could change the rules for investors. Those policies can push your returns up or down. So I’m trying to understand which set of rules is more likely based on the provisional numbers.
Keep in mind too that property investors don’t all vote the same way. You choose a party based on everything it stands for, not just its property policies.
Some investors that my team at Opes Partners works with vote right. Some vote left. Some switch between.
So I’m not trying to take a side here (I’m trying to do the opposite and be as neutral as possible). I’ve crunched the election maths so you can see which rules you’re most likely to be following for the next three years.
The information and opinions on this channel are for your general information. It’s not financial advice. So the hosts aren’t telling you what to do with your own money.
We’ve made every effort to make sure the information is accurate. But we occasionally get the odd fact wrong.
Make sure you do your own research or talk to a financial adviser before making any financial decisions. See our Disclosure information here.
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