Mortgages
Interest rate predictions NZ 2026 & 2027: What economists forecast
Discover where interest rates are headed in 2026 and beyond so you can make informed decisions for your property portfolio.
Mortgages
7 min read
Author: Peter Norris
Mortgage broker for over 10 years, property investor and Managing Director at Opes Mortgages
Reviewed by: Ed McKnight
Resident Economist, with a GradDipEcon and over five years at Opes Partners, is a trusted contributor to NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, Stuff, Business Desk, and OneRoof.
Out of the 6 major banks, the lowest 6 month fixed mortgage interest rate is 4.49%. This is currently offered by 2 banks. They are ASB and Kiwibank.
As at Thursday 25 June 2026, the lowest 1 year fixed mortgage interest rate is 4.65%. This is currently offered by 2 banks. They are ANZ and ASB.
Westpac currently offers the lowest 2 year fixed mortgage interest rate at 5.19%.
The lowest 3 year fixed mortgage interest rate is 5.29%. This is currently offered by 2 banks. They are BNZ and Westpac.
The lowest 4 year fixed mortgage interest rate is 5.39%. This is currently offered by 2 banks. They are BNZ and Westpac.
The lowest 5 year fixed mortgage interest rate is 5.49%. This is currently offered by 2 banks. They are BNZ and Westpac.
These interest rates were last updated on Thursday 25 June 2026.
The interest rates we've stated are accurate to the best of our knowledge at the time of writing. Interest rates are ever-changing, so be sure to double check with your bank before locking in your interest rate.
When you choose a mortgage rate, you usually have two options: fixed or floating.
A fixed rate means your interest rate stays the same for a set period. So, you know what your repayments will be.
A floating rate can move up or down. It also gives you more flexibility. You can usually make extra repayments, restructure your loan, or lock in a new rate without paying break fees.
| Option | Pros | Cons |
| Fixed rate | More certainty. You often pay a lower interest rate than floating. | Less flexible. You may pay extra fees (break fees) if you repay early or restructure. If interest rates fall, you could be locked in at a higher interest rate. |
| Floating rate | More flexible. Easier to make extra repayments or change your loan. If interest rates fall, you get the benefit straight away | You often pay a higher rate than the fixed rates. Your repayments can change. If interest rates go up, you have to pay that higher rate straight away |
But floating rates are often more expensive.
Now, sometimes that’s worth it. If rates are going down, you might stay floating because you think you’ll be able to refix sooner at a lower rate.
But as of June 2026, rates are moving up, especially longer-term fixed rates. So, for many borrowers, it makes more sense to fix the bulk of the mortgage and lock in some certainty.
A simple rule of thumb:
Most financial advisers will suggest a mix of the two.
You might still leave a small part floating, especially if you want to make extra repayments. Many borrowers do this through an offset or revolving credit facility.
That way, most of your mortgage is fixed and predictable. But you still have some flexibility.
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How long you fix for depends on where you think interest rates are heading.
Typically, borrowers can fix their interest rates for 6 months and up to 5 years.
Often, the longer you fix your interest rate for, the higher the interest rate you pay. Effectively, you pay for certainty.
Generally, borrowers choose a higher long-term rate if they think interest rates are likely to rise in the future. That way, you can lock in today's rate before rates move higher.
Though there are other reasons to lock your interest rate in for longer, too, such as if you need that certainty.
| If you fix for... | The upside | The downside |
| 1 year | Generally, lower repayments today | You need to refix sooner, potentially at a higher rate |
| 3 - 5 years | More certainty. You don’t pay a higher interest rate if rates rise | You pay a higher rate today |
If rates do rise, borrowers who fixed for longer may come out ahead. But if rates fall (or stay the same), they could end up paying more than someone who fixed for a shorter term.
There isn't one "best" fixed term. It comes down to whether you value a lower repayment today or more certainty over the next few years.
The Opes Interest Rate Comparison Calculator can help you compare different fixed terms and see how much each option could cost you.
The bank with the lowest interest rate changes all the time.
One bank might have the cheapest 1-year rate. Another might have the cheapest 3-year rate. Another might offer better cashback or be more flexible with lending criteria.
That’s why choosing a bank isn’t just about picking the lowest number on a rate table.
You also need to think about:
This is where a mortgage adviser can help. They can compare banks, negotiate, and work out which lender suits your situation.
Borrowers often ask whether banks still negotiate their interest rates. Banks are often less flexible than they used to be, and many now stick close to their advertised rates.
If another main bank offers a lower rate, your bank may match it or get close to it, especially if it wants to keep your business.
Here are the rates that Opes Mortgages is negotiating compared to the advertised rates in June 2026:
Typically, these negotiated rates are offered to most borrowers (who are eligible for the special rates).
But, mortgage advisers and individual borrowers often can't get a substantially lower rate than what’s shown in your bank app.
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The rate you see advertised by a bank isn’t always the rate you’ll get. Some will pay more; others will pay less.
Most banks advertise “special” rates. These usually apply to borrowers who have at least 20% equity in their property.
If you have less than that, you may be offered the bank’s standard rate instead. This is a higher interest rate that borrowers pay if they have a lower deposit loan, for instance, if you buy a property with a 10% deposit.
For example, you may pay a higher rate if:
| Situation | Why you may pay more |
| You have less than a 20% deposit | The bank may still give you a loan but charge extra because you have a smaller deposit. They might charge you the standard rates, or their standard rates, plus a low equity margin. |
| You own a large property portfolio | The bank may treat you more like a commercial borrower. These loans can come with higher rates. |
This is why it’s important to compare the rate you’ll actually get, not just the lowest rate on the bank’s website.
Not all home buyers and property investors borrow from a bank. There are also non-bank lenders.
What’s the difference? Banks usually have lower interest rates and fees. But they also have stricter rules about who they’ll lend to.
If you don’t fit inside those rules, a non-bank lender can be useful. This could apply if you’re self-employed, have complicated income, have credit issues, or own a larger property portfolio.
The trade-off is cost. Non-bank lenders often charge higher interest rates and fees.
That doesn’t make them bad. For some borrowers, a non-bank lender is the difference between getting approved and not.
| Option | Good because... | Watch out for... |
| Bank | Usually cheaper | Can be harder to get approved |
| Non-bank lender | More flexible | Usually costs more |
There is a lot to think about when it comes to choosing your interest rate.
Your choice will significantly impact your mortgage repayment.
But, as this article has shown, it’s not always a straightforward decision.
The lowest rate is not always the rate that fits your situation. The real question is which structure gives you the right balance between certainty, flexibility, and cost.
That's why borrowers should talk to a mortgage adviser to help choose the right interest rate for them.
Not sure where to start? Use our Opes Interest Rate Comparison Calculator to see which rate might work for you.
Mortgage broker for over 10 years, property investor and Managing Director at Opes Mortgages
Peter Norris, a certified mortgage adviser with 10+ years of experience, serves as the Managing Director at Opes Mortgages. Having facilitated over $1.2 billion in lending for 2000+ clients, Peter is a respected authority in property financing. He's a frequent writer for Informed Investor Magazine and Property Investor Magazine, while also being recognized as BNZ Mortgage Adviser of the Year in 2018 and listed among NZ Adviser's top advisers in 2022, showcasing his expertise.
This article is for your general information. It’s not financial advice. See here for details about our Financial Advice Provider Disclosure. So Opes isn’t telling you what to do with your own money.
We’ve made every effort to make sure the information is accurate. But we occasionally get the odd fact wrong. Make sure you do your own research or talk to a financial adviser before making any investment decisions.
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