Property Market
What's happening with NZ house prices right now?
Get the latest insights on New Zealand’s property markets, including trends, growth areas, and investment opportunities across regions.
Property Market
7 min read
Author: Ed McKnight
Resident Economist, with a GradDipEcon and over five years at Opes Partners, is a trusted contributor to NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, Stuff, Business Desk, and OneRoof.
Reviewed by: Laine Moger
Journalist and Property Educator, holds a Bachelor of Communication (Honours) from Massey University.
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As at October 2025, the median house price in Bay of Plenty is $815,000. This is up from $420,000 10 years earlier. That means that the median Bay of Plenty property increased in value by 6.85% each year, or $39,500 on average.
The most expensive suburb in Bay of Plenty is Mount Maunganui, which has a median house price of $1,369,650 and is located in the Tauranga City district. That means that Mount Maunganui's median house price is 168% of Bay of Plenty’s median.
The least expensive suburb in Bay of Plenty is Murupara, which has a median house price of $205,900 and is located in the Whakatane District district. That means that Murupara's median house price is 25% of Bay of Plenty’s median.
Over the last 24 months (Dec 2023 - Dec 2025), Murupara had the fastest-growing house prices in all of Bay of Plenty, at 5% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Papamoa, which grew at a rate of -4% per year.
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Bay of Plenty house prices look relatively expensive compared to where we'd expect them to be.
In the above graph, when the purple line is below the baseline (black line), Bay of Plenty's house values are undervalued. This suggests there is a buying opportunity in the region.
When Bay of Plenty’s house values are above the baseline, other regions have buying opportunities.
How is this calculated? Click on the accordions below to find out.
One of the most common questions I get asked is: “Ed, are properties selling above or below the Council Valuation (CV)?”
Some call it the RV (Rateable Value) or GV (Government Value).
Why do people care? Well, if you go on TradeMe (or another website), you’ll almost always see the council’s valuation for the property.
The map below depicts which districts within the Bay of Plenty Region have the most and least affordable house prices (REINZ, October 2025).
The darker the district, the more expensive the median house price for that area.
The Tauranga City is the most expensive district within the Bay of Plenty Region, with properties reaching a median price of $890,000 in October 2025.
By comparison, the Kawerau District is the most affordable, with a median house price of just $450,000. That's a $440,000 difference compared to Tauranga City.
This map shows a breakdown of how over or under-valued each council area is right now in the Bay of Plenty property market. These figures are calculated exactly the same way as the HPI based graph in the above section.
Kawerau District appears to be the most overvalued area in Bay of Plenty. House prices there are about 31.30% above where we would usually expect them to be over the long term.
Whakatane District, on the other hand, appears to be the least overvalued in Bay of Plenty. House prices in this district appear to be 1.50% above where we would expect them to be.
This means that we've got greater confidence that Whakatane District house prices will increase faster over the next 5-10 years compared to Kawerau District.
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The above graph shows how quickly house prices have increased or decreased over the previous 12 months. This is also known as ‘capital growth’.
So does this show how the property market is going right now?
Yes and no.
It shows how expensive properties are today compared to 12 months ago.
While this will give us a good sense of how property values have changed, it’s not the only thing to consider.
You might also look at how quickly property values are going up (or down) from month to month, the number of property sales and how quickly properties are selling.
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The above graph shows the median rent within a given month.
The data comes from the Ministry of Business Innovation and Employment (MBIE) and is provided through their Tenancy Services website.
Their data is based on all the rental bonds lodged by private landlords within the month.
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This graph shows the annual growth in median rents.
The data also comes from the Ministry of Business Innovation and Employment (MBIE).
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This graph shows current property listings, with data sourced from realestate.co.nz.
It shows the number of listings that are currently available on the website per month.
You might be wondering: “How do the number of listings impact house prices?”
If many listings are available, then people will think there is lots of supply. This means that people feel like they can take their time choosing a property.
This leads to less competition and softer house prices.
On the other hand, if there aren’t many listings available, people will feel like there is a shortage of houses. This leads to FOMO (fear of missing out).
This makes people more competitive and more likely to bid up house prices.
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The above graph shows the total number of properties sold over the prior 12 months. For example, if looking at the data for August 2023, the graph will show all the sales between September 2022 – August 2023.
The data comes from the REINZ Market Insights Report and The Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) collects data directly from agents.
You might be wondering: “How does the volume of sales impact house prices?”
They don’t impact house prices on their own. But a high number of sales represents a hot property market.
That’s because there are a lot of people out there buying property.
That’s why when sales volumes are high, property prices typically increase at the same time.
When property sales are falling, typically, property prices are also soft.
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Tauranga City is made up of 20 suburbs. The most expensive suburb is Mount Maunganui, which has an average house value of $1,369,650. While the most affordable suburb is Parkvale, which has an average house value of $685,550.
Over the last 24 months of all the Tauranga City suburbs (Dec 2023 - Dec 2025), Poike had the fastest-growing house prices at 2.77% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Papamoa, which grew at a rate of -3.71% per year.
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Western Bay of Plenty District is made up of 10 suburbs. The most expensive suburb is Omokoroa, which has an average house value of $1,065,600. While the most affordable suburb is Te Puke, which has an average house value of $734,900.
Over the last 24 months of all the Western Bay of Plenty District suburbs (Dec 2023 - Dec 2025), Paengaroa had the fastest-growing house prices at 1.80% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Aongatete, which grew at a rate of -1.89% per year.
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Whakatane District is made up of 6 suburbs. The most expensive suburb is Coastlands, which has an average house value of $929,000. While the most affordable suburb is Murupara, which has an average house value of $205,900.
Over the last 24 months of all the Whakatane District suburbs (Dec 2023 - Dec 2025), Murupara had the fastest-growing house prices at 5.41% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Whakatane, which grew at a rate of -2.93% per year.
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Opotiki District is made up of 2 suburb, also named Opotiki District. It has an average house value of $463,450.
Over the last 24 months, (Dec 2023 - Dec 2025), the average Opotiki house value increased by 3.30% per year.
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Resident Economist, with a GradDipEcon and over five years at Opes Partners, is a trusted contributor to NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, Stuff, Business Desk, and OneRoof.
Ed, our Resident Economist, is equipped with a GradDipEcon, a GradCertStratMgmt, BMus, and over five years of experience as Opes Partners' economist. His expertise in economics has led him to contribute articles to reputable publications like NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, OneRoof, Stuff, and Business Desk. You might have also seen him share his insights on television programs such as The Project and Breakfast.
This article is for your general information. It’s not financial advice. See here for details about our Financial Advice Provider Disclosure. So Opes isn’t telling you what to do with your own money.
We’ve made every effort to make sure the information is accurate. But we occasionally get the odd fact wrong. Make sure you do your own research or talk to a financial adviser before making any investment decisions.
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