More people moving in means more demand for housing.

But there’s a catch: a lot of new homes have been built in the area (especially in Rolleston). That has pushed prices up, and it has made rental returns weaker than they used to be.

The median house price is now $780k.

So Selwyn isn’t “cheap” anymore. But the reason it still makes this list is that lots of people want to live there. So the population growth is so strong.

About 30 years ago less than 2,000 people lived in Rolleston. Now over 34,000 people call the city home.

Rolleston side by side small

It’s not a “farm town” anymore. It’s very much the city it’s been promising to be for a while.

If you want long-term growth and stability, you might consider investing in Rolleston.

ProsCons

Fast population growth

Strong long-term housing demand

Close to Christchurch jobs

Prices have already risen a lot

Rental returns are lower than they used to be

Not as much upside from being “undervalued”

#2 – Christchurch

Undervalued by 3.63% 
Yield: 4% 
Population growth: Steady +15% projected for the next 25 years

Christchurch used to be my top place to invest.

Now it’s been knocked off the top spot. That’s not because it’s bad, but because prices have already done well.

Over the last few years, Christchurch prices held up better than many other places.

After that peak in February 2022, house prices fell 10.72% before bottoming out in June 2023.

Today, Christchurch house prices have surpassed their previous Covid-fuelled peak. That means prices have risen 12.18% since the bottom of the market.

That means prices now look closer to “normal” for what people can afford. Though rental returns have still increased over the last few years.

If you already own there, this isn’t a warning sign.

It’s still a solid market … just not my #1 top pick for new investors.

ProsCons

Large city

Reliable tenant demand

Property prices held up well through the downturn

House prices aren’t as undervalued as they once were

Rental returns are lower than before 

Lower wages than some other big cities

#1 – Auckland

Undervalued by 9.48% 

Yield: 3.1% 

Population growth: Strong +33% projected for the next 25 years

Auckland doesn’t feel particularly popular right now. And Auckland house prices have under-performed over the last decade or two. 

They haven’t increased as fast as other areas (based on a compounding basis). 

Part of that is because Auckland was so hard hit during the most recent property market downturn.

But, that’s also why it’s #1 on my list.

Auckland house prices look about 9.48% undervalued relative to where I’d expect them to be at this point in the cycle.

This suggests the market is currently undervalued and could present a buying opportunity. 

Houses still aren’t cheap, but Auckland is no longer “way more expensive” than everywhere else.

Auckland also has strong fundamentals: 

  • higher incomes than the rest of the country,
  • lots of people who need rentals, and
  • strong buyer demand.

Sure, rental returns are lower than in smaller centres (the median yield is still around 3.1%). 

But if you take a long enough view, investors have historically received higher house price growth than the rest of the country. 

Since January 1992, Auckland house prices have increased by 6.5% per year on average, compared to 5.9% across New Zealand excluding Auckland. (REINZ, February 2026.)

Auckland also looks like it’s in a similar part of the cycle to 1993 and 2009, and both were followed by long periods of growth. 

The other big reason Auckland stands out is population growth

According to Stats NZ population projections, Auckland’s population is forecast to grow by 33.46% between 2023 and 2048.

Put all these points together, and that’s why it’s one of the most compelling places to watch right now.

ProsCons

Biggest, most diverse economy in NZ

Strong long-term demand

Property prices appear undervalued

High buy-in price

Lower rental returns

Cashflow can be tight early on

But what about …?

You might ask, “What about [insert your area here]?” If we haven’t mentioned an area on this list, we genuinely don’t believe it’s the best area right now.

If you want to dig into more of the data check out our Area Analyser. You can get free data for any suburb, council area or region in New Zealand.

Is there a “perfect” place to invest?

Just keep in mind that there isn’t a ‘perfect place to invest’. Every market has trade-offs. 

Big cities often have lower yields. Smaller centres can grow more slowly. Fast-growing areas can become expensive quickly.

Property investing is not about finding the perfect city. It is about choosing a market that fits your plan, then buying the right property at the right price.

If you want help working out which market fits your goals, you can book a free portfolio planning session with one of our financial advisers.

Ed solo

Ed McKnight

Resident Economist, with a GradDipEcon and over five years at Opes Partners, is a trusted contributor to NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, Stuff, Business Desk, and OneRoof.

Ed, our Resident Economist, is equipped with a GradDipEcon, a GradCertStratMgmt, BMus, and over five years of experience as Opes Partners' economist. His expertise in economics has led him to contribute articles to reputable publications like NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, OneRoof, Stuff, and Business Desk. You might have also seen him share his insights on television programs such as The Project and Breakfast.

Ok, now for the legal bit:

This article is for your general information. It’s not financial advice. See here for details about our Financial Advice Provider Disclosure. So Opes isn’t telling you what to do with your own money. 

We’ve made every effort to make sure the information is accurate. But we occasionally get the odd fact wrong. Make sure you do your own research or talk to a financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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